SA food inflation falls marginally to 6.8%, but meat remains a key risk

Published: 23/08/2017

Food inflation decelerated to 6.8% y/y in July 2017, from 6.9% y/y in the previous month. This mirrors the benefits of the higher agricultural output following good summer rainfall across the country. Although we expect further moderation in the next few months, the picture of the food basket is mixed. Most food products have decelerated, with the exception of meat which is proving stickier than expected, recording 14.4% y/y in July, which is the highest level since December 2011.

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Food inflation decelerated to 6.8% y/y in July 2017, from 6.9% y/y in the previous month. This mirrors the benefits of the higher agricultural output following good summer rainfall across the country. Although we expect further moderation in the next few months, the picture of the food basket is mixed. Most food products have decelerated, with the exception of meat which is proving stickier than expected, recording 14.4% y/y in July, which is the highest level since December 2011.